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Sangeet Paul Choudary – AI won’t eat your job, but it will eat your salary
https://medium.com/@sanguit/ai-wont-eat-your-job-but-it-will-eat-your-salary-a810121d89e4
intelligence (AI) is likely to impact job salaries rather than eliminating jobs entirely. The primary argument is that AI will erode the skill premium traditionally commanded by high-skilled workers. This erosion happens through three key mechanisms:
- Skill Premium on Specialized Tasks: AI enables low-skilled workers to perform tasks at a level comparable to high-skilled workers, making skilled workers more substitutable and reducing their wage premium.
- Skill Premium on Learning Advantages: AI’s ability to continuously learn and improve from vast amounts of data threatens professions that rely on continuous learning and skill development. For example, in healthcare, AI can absorb and replicate the learning and expertise of doctors, diminishing their unique value.
- Skill Premium on Managerial Advantages: AI agents can take over managerial tasks like planning and resource allocation, which have traditionally required human intervention. As AI becomes more sophisticated, even complex managerial roles might lose their premium as AI performs these functions more efficiently.
These factors collectively lead to a commoditization of skills, reducing the relative advantage and salary premium of traditionally high-skilled and managerial roles. The article emphasizes that while AI may not replace jobs outright, it will significantly affect how jobs are valued and compensated.
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John Cutler – The production Failure Threshold (for Start Ups)
https://cutlefish.substack.com/p/tbm-290-the-dependency-threshold
There’s a point beyond which no individual, no team, and no company can solve the dependency and constraint puzzle using brute-force methods.
Imagine a company where 10% of the work involves multiple teams, touches different codebases, requires careful coordination, and requires frequent meetings that span organizational boundaries and challenge local incentives. This situation might still be feasible.
Now imagine that this percentage is more like 25%. Very quickly, the constraint satisfaction problem becomes an order of magnitude more complex.
What might a heuristic approach look like in product development?
- Reducing work-in-progress limits
- Force ranking priorities
- Weighted-shortest-job-first
There (is) a chance that teams will miss an opportunity to find an optimal solution? Yes. But the probability of that happening is far outweighed by the likelihood that 1) bad things will NOT happen, and 2) good things may emerge.
The trouble, I believe, is that it can be incredibly hard for managers to make the case for, on the surface, doing less. Discussions about WIP limits and prioritization often devolve into debates over the actual WIP limit and precise estimates! Instead of seeing the forest through the trees, we obsess about finding the optimal answer.
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The Three Laws of Software Code Complexity
https://maheshba.bitbucket.io/blog/2024/05/08/2024-ThreeLaws.html
- A well-designed system will degrade into a badly designed system over time.
- Complexity is a Moat (filled by Leaky Abstractions).
- There is no fundamental upper limit on Software Complexity.
FEATURED POSTS
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AnimationXpress.com interviews Daniele Tosti for TheCgCareer.com channel
You’ve been in the VFX Industry for over a decade. Tell us about your journey.
It all started with my older brother giving me a Commodore64 personal computer as a gift back in the late 80′. I realised then I could create something directly from my imagination using this new digital media format. And, eventually, make a living in the process.
That led me to start my professional career in 1990. From live TV to games to animation. All the way to live action VFX in the recent years.I really never stopped to crave to create art since those early days. And I have been incredibly fortunate to work with really great talent along the way, which made my journey so much more effective.
What inspired you to pursue VFX as a career?
An incredible combination of opportunities, really. The opportunity to express myself as an artist and earn money in the process. The opportunity to learn about how the world around us works and how best solve problems. The opportunity to share my time with other talented people with similar passions. The opportunity to grow and adapt to new challenges. The opportunity to develop something that was never done before. A perfect storm of creativity that fed my continuous curiosity about life and genuinely drove my inspiration.
Tell us about the projects you’ve particularly enjoyed working on in your career
(more…)
